[Winners in red.]
Picture
Will win: Nomadland
Could win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: First Cow
Director
Will win: Chloé Zhao (Nomadland)
Could win: Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)
Should win: Chloé Zhao (Nomadland)
Shoulda been a contender: Kelly Reichardt (First Cow)
Actor
Will win: Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
Could win: Anthony Hopkins (The Father)
Should win: Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)
Shoulda been a contender: Kingsley Ben-Adir (One Night in Miami)
Actress
Will win: Carrie Mulligan (Promising Young Woman)
Could win: Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
Should win: Frances McDormand (Nomadland)
Shoulda been a contender: Elisabeth Moss (Shirley)
Supporting Actor
Will win: Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)
Could win: Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
Should win: Leslie Odom, Jr. (One Night in Miami)
Shoulda been a contender: Matthew Macfadyen (The Assistant)
Supporting Actress
Will win: Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)
Could win: Olivia Colman (The Father)
Should win: Amanda Seyfried (Mank)
Shoulda been a contender: Toni Collette (I’m Thinking of Ending Things)
Original Screenplay
Will win: Promising Young Woman
Could win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Should win: Sound of Metal
Shoulda been a contender: Never Rarely Sometimes Always
Adapted Screenplay
Will win: The Father
Could win: Nomadland
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: I’m Thinking of Ending Things
International Feature
Will win: Another Round
Could win: Quo Vadis, Aida?
Should win: Collective
Shoulda been a contender: Vitalina Varela
Documentary Feature
Will win: Crip Camp
Could win: My Octopus Teacher
Should win: Collective
Shoulda been a contender: Dick Johnson Is Dead
Animated Feature
Will win: Soul
Could win: Wolfwalkers
Should win: Wolfwalkers
Shoulda been a contender: [Pass]
Cinematography
Will win: Nomadland
Could win: Mank
Should win: Nomadland
Shoulda been a contender: Vitalina Varela
Editing
Will win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Could win: Sound of Metal
Should win: Sound of Metal
Shoulda been a contender: Tenet
Score
Will win: Soul
Could win: Minari
Should win: Minari
Shoulda been a contender: Tenet
Song
Will win: “Speak Now” (One Night in Miami)
Could win: “Io Sì (Seen)” (The Life Ahead)
Should win: “Husavik” (Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga)
Shoulda been a contender: “The Plan” (Tenet)
Production Design
Will win: Mank
Could win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Should win: Tenet
Shoulda been a contender: I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Costume Design
Will win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could win: Emma.
Should win: Mank
Shoulda been a contender: Tenet
Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Could win: Pinocchio
Should win: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Shoulda been a contender: Birds of Prey and the Fabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn
Sound
Will win: Sound of Metal
Could win: Greyhound
Should win: Sound of Metal
Shoulda been a contender: Tenet
Visual Effects
Will win: Tenet
Could win: Mulan
Should win: Tenet
Shoulda been a contender: Greyhound
Animated Short
Will win: If Anything Happens I Love You
Could win: Opera
Live Action Short
Will win: Two Distant Strangers
Could win: White Eye
Documentary Short Subject
Will win: Colette
Could win: Do Not Split
