2019 Academy Award Winner Predictions

[Actual winners in red. 17/23 — at least an improvement from 2018 and I’ll happily take the extra two incorrect predictions for the excitement of seeing Parasite win both Best Picture and Director.]

Picture
Will win: 1917
Could win: Parasite
Should win: Parasite
Shoulda been a contender: Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Director
Will win: Sam Mendes (1917)
Could win: Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)
Should win: Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)
Shoulda been a contender: Céline Sciamma (Portrait of a Lady on Fire)

Actor
Will win: Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Could win: Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
Should win: Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
Shoulda been a contender: Javier Bardem (Everybody Knows)

Actress
Will win: Renée Zellweger (Judy)
Could win: Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
Should win: Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
Shoulda been a contender: Elizabeth Moss (Her Smell)

Supporting Actor
Will win: Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood)
Could win: Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Should win: Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Shoulda been a contender: Willem Dafoe (The Lighthouse)

Supporting Actress
Will win: Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
Could win: Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
Should win: Florence Pugh (Little Women)
Shoulda been a contender: Penélope Cruz (Pain and Glory)

Original Screenplay
Will win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Could win: Parasite
Should win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Shoulda been a contender: Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Jojo Rabbit
Could win: Little Women
Should win: The Irishman
Shoulda been a contender: Transit

International Feature
Will win: Parasite
Could win: Pain and Glory
Should win: Parasite
Shoulda been a contender: Beanpole

Documentary Feature
Will win: American Factory
Could win: For Sama
Should win: Honeyland
Shoulda been a contender: Midnight Family

Animated Feature
Will win: Toy Story 4
Could win: Missing Link
Should win: Toy Story 4
Shoulda been a contender: Weathering With You

Cinematography
Will win: 1917 (Roger Deakins)
Could win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood (Robert Richardson)
Should win: The Lighthouse (Jarin Blaschke)
Shoulda been a contender: Parasite (Hong Kyung-pyo)

Editing
Will win: Parasite
Could win: Ford v Ferrari
Should win: Parasite
Shoulda been a contender: Uncut Gems

Score
Will win: Joker (Hildur Guonadottir)
Could win: 1917 (Thomas Newman)
Should win: Little Women (Alexandre Desplat)
Shoulda been a contender: A Hidden Life (James Newton Howard)

Song
Will win: “I’m Gonna Love Me Tonight” (Rocketman)
Could win: “Stand Up” (Harriet)
Should win: “Stand Up” (Harriet)
Shoulda been a contender: “La Jeune Fille en Feu” (Portrait of a Lady on Fire)

Production Design
Will win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Could win: 1917
Should win: Parasite
Shoulda been a contender: Shadow

Costume Design
Will win: Little Women
Could win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Should win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Shoulda been a contender: Portrait of a Lady on Fire

Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Bombshell
Could win: Joker
Should win: Bombshell
Shoulda been a contender: Us

Sound Editing
Will win: 1917
Could win: Ford v Ferrari
Should win: Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Shoulda been a contender: John Wick: Chapter 3—Parabellum

Sound Mixing
Will win: 1917
Could win: Ford v Ferrari
Should win: Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Shoulda been a contender: Uncut Gems

Visual Effects
Will win: 1917
Could win: Avengers: Endgame
Should win: Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Shoulda been a contender: Alita: Battle Angel

Animated Short
Will win: Memorable
Could win: Hair Love

Live Action Short
Will win: Brotherhood
Could win: The Neighbor’s Window

Documentary Short Subject
Will win: Learning to Skate in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)
Could win: In the Absence